A new survey from Quantus Insights shows President Donald Trump maintaining steady approval ratings, with support and opposition split nearly evenly.
While his overall numbers remain stable since April, the poll revealed a dramatic surge in support from black male voters.
In 2020, 87% of black men voted for President Joe Biden. Today, 49% of black men surveyed expressed approval of Trump’s job performance.
Among black voters overall, 39% view Trump favorably, continuing a trend that gained traction throughout the 2024 election cycle.
Quantus lead pollster Jason Corley highlighted the significance of this shift. “The real headline, though, is Black voters: Trump posts 39% approval overall, with 49% of Black men backing him, a historic high for a Republican,” he wrote.
He added that while this isn’t a complete political realignment, it’s a noticeable crack in a traditionally solid Democratic voting bloc.
Support among urban voters also reflected unexpected strength for Trump. According to the poll, 50% of urban respondents approve of his performance, putting him slightly above water in areas where Republicans typically face challenges.
Suburban voters remain a tough crowd for Trump.
In the survey, 45% of suburban respondents expressed approval, while 52% disapproved, leaving Trump seven points underwater in that demographic, per Trending Politics.
Surprisingly, Trump’s support among rural voters was evenly split. Corley cautioned, however, that rural communities are frequently underrepresented in polling data, which can lead to uncertain conclusions.
By gender and race, Trump continues to perform well among white men. The poll shows 56% of white male respondents backing him. Trump also gained notable support among young men, with 57% of males aged 18 to 29 approving of his performance—a +17 advantage in a group that leaned toward Biden in 2020.
That support, however, does not carry over to young women. Among women aged 18 to 29, just 38% approved of Trump, leaving him 20 points underwater with that demographic.
Corley emphasized this emerging gender divide. “Trump’s support is male-heavy, younger than expected, and hardening along gender lines,” he said. The long-held assumption that young voters oppose Trump is “increasingly false for men,” according to Corley.
Among independents, Trump remains underperforming, with a net negative approval nearly identical to previous polling. This continues a consistent trend observed across various national surveys.
The data also revealed a gap in support based on education level. Among white voters without college degrees, 53% approved of Trump’s performance, while 44% disapproved, giving him a +9 favorability rating.
Conversely, college-educated white voters were less supportive. Just 46% approved, while 53% disapproved, putting Trump seven points underwater in that group.
“This poll doesn’t show a collapsing presidency,” Corley said, “but it does show a stalled one.” Trump’s coalition remains intact—especially with working-class whites and men—but it has limits with women and independents.
Corley concluded with a warning and a roadmap. He said Republicans must run a disciplined, targeted campaign that appeals to persuadable voters and addresses weaknesses with suburban and college-educated women.
“This is where the 2026 battle will be won—or lost,” Corley concluded.
